Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.142099 3.732195 4.434642 5.341740 6.495654 7.933158 9.889265e+00
2024-10-13 2.238457 2.925427 3.852181 5.229614 7.289848 10.370871 1.556603e+01
2024-10-20 1.881272 2.612526 3.682704 5.433584 8.376380 13.438853 2.363568e+01
2024-10-27 1.579205 2.289012 3.390285 5.325027 8.883057 15.738887 3.184080e+01
2024-11-03 1.460421 2.207973 3.437456 5.761402 10.464702 20.746920 4.973415e+01
2024-11-10 1.325721 2.072102 3.358242 5.939742 11.606598 25.464330 7.193886e+01
2024-11-17 1.232098 1.986267 3.344103 6.231759 13.103256 31.975438 1.087416e+02
2024-11-24 1.114349 1.838471 3.186113 6.182661 13.783480 36.753206 1.475465e+02
2024-12-01 1.031753 1.741546 3.106865 6.283064 14.892483 43.736983 2.131857e+02
2024-12-08 0.955306 1.645066 3.011054 6.320258 15.854090 51.097294 3.046819e+02
2024-12-15 0.910478 1.602867 3.019254 6.611712 17.720456 63.968925 4.988702e+02
2024-12-22 0.837663 1.496110 2.872121 6.470861 18.150181 71.053148 6.832603e+02
2024-12-29 0.771816 1.406417 2.772802 6.505366 19.499312 86.347767 1.180453e+03
2025-01-05 0.699155 1.295895 2.614036 6.353737 20.212661 100.503963 1.999292e+03
2025-01-12 0.660494 1.250987 2.598697 6.615342 22.798673 133.647406 4.988694e+03
2025-01-19 0.606032 1.164218 2.466024 6.476280 23.592231 156.006416 1.017477e+04
2025-01-26 0.590274 1.160880 2.540551 7.036224 28.259171 234.296321 6.255376e+04
2025-02-02 0.561207 1.123090 2.518841 7.265896 31.529386 317.321879 6.073665e+05
2025-02-09 0.540089 1.100909 2.534699 7.642974 36.181723 460.850930 1.720889e+09
2025-02-16 0.505951 1.043367 2.442660 7.579488 38.019175 572.968004 NaN
2025-02-23 0.481237 1.005886 2.401443 7.709349 41.492530 778.339050 NaN
2025-03-02 0.456404 0.965265 2.344408 7.757493 44.525647 1035.880986 NaN
2025-03-09 0.442315 0.950034 2.360577 8.135418 51.044501 1645.660795 NaN